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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 16 April 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 16 April 2022. Toulouse vs Quevilly sits top on 56% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 43%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Toulouse
2 : 0 FT
Quevilly
✓ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Toulouse Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Juventus
1 : 1 FT
Bologna
Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
0 : 3 FT
Grenoble
Win 41%
Draw 37%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#4 Super League 1 · Greece
Apollon Smirnis
1 : 1 FT
Volos NFC
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 65%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
1 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 39%
Draw 37%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 68%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
7 : 0 FT
Portimonense
✓ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
3 : 0 FT
Avai
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
0 : 3 FT
Ajaccio
Win 30%
Draw 39%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 71%
#9 Serie A · Italy
Lazio
1 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#10 Premier League · England
Manchester United
3 : 2 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 58%
#11 Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
0 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 54%
#12 Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 0 FT
Venezia
✓ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 2 FT
Villarreal
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#14 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Nieciecza
0 : 3 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 22%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#15 Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
0 : 0 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
#16 Süper Lig · Turkey
Altay
1 : 1 FT
Başakşehir
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#17 Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 0 FT
Lask Linz
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 21%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 51%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#19 Serie A · Brazil
America Mineiro
4 : 1 FT
Juventude
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#20 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 2 FT
RWDM
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 16 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Toulouse vs Quevilly at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.