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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 16 February 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 16 February 2022. Apollon Smirnis vs Panathinaikos led the list at 52% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 23%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie B supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Apollon Smirnis
0 : 3 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 25%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 71%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Crotone
0 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 19%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy
Alessandria
1 : 1 FT
Lecce
Win 25%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
1 : 2 FT
Como
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 56%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
4 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
0 : 1 FT
Levante
Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Championship Β· England
Peterborough
0 : 0 FT
Reading
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
2 : 2 FT
OFI
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Benevento
0 : 2 FT
Ascoli
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 10 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 16 February 2022?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Apollon Smirnis vs Panathinaikos at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.