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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 30 January 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 30 January 2022. Cardiff vs Nottingham Forest led the list at 49% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 27%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Primeira Liga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Cardiff
2 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 59%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 60%
#2 Super League 1 · Greece
PAS Giannina
2 : 0 FT
Apollon Smirnis
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2 : 3 FT
Prachuap
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#4 Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
2 : 0 FT
Moreirense
✓ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Championship · England
Derby
2 : 2 FT
Birmingham
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Parma
1 : 1 FT
Crotone
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
1 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
#8 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi
0 : 0 FT
Pattaya United
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Maritimo
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
3 : 2 FT
Vitória SC
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#11 Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
0 : 2 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 33%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC
3 : 2 FT
Port FC
✓ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#13 Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
0 : 3 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 20%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
2 : 1 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 14%
Draw 24%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Portimonense
1 : 2 FT
Tondela
Win 33%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 55%
#16 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
0 : 1 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 29%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 46%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
0 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 0 FT
Anderlecht
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
1 : 1 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#20 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
1 : 2 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 30 January 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cardiff vs Nottingham Forest at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.