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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 28 November 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 28 November 2021. Atletico-MG vs Fluminense sits top on 60% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 43%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the clean sheet market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 FT
Fluminense
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 67% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1 FT
Ajax
Win 10%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Ajax Clean Sheet 58%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Inhulets
0 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 13%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Shakhtar Donetsk Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 55%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Torino
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ AS Roma Clean Sheet 54%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
2 : 0 FT
Sport Recife
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 37%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 72%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
2 : 0 FT
Tondela
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 36%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangrai United
0 : 1 FT
Buriram United
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
1 : 0 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
0 : 1 FT
Union Espanola
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
1 : 1 FT
Santos
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
2 : 0 FT
FC Kharkiv
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
4 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#14 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
3 : 0 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile
Santiago Wanderers
2 : 2 FT
A. Italiano
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Plock
2 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
3 : 2 FT
Konyaspor
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#19 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Incheon United
0 : 0 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#20 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
0 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 28 November 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico-MG vs Fluminense at 60% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.