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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 23 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 23 September 2021. Mjallby AIF vs Halmstad led the list at 54% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
0 : 0 FT
Halmstad
Win 37%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 73% ✓ Mjallby AIF Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
2 : 1 FT
Giresunspor
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
3 : 0 FT
Atromitos
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Ionikos
0 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
1 : 3 FT
Real Betis
Win 18%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
0 : 0 FT
America Mineiro
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
3 : 3 FT
Al Ain
Win 19%
Draw 31%
Win 50%
#8 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
0 : 0 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
2 : 0 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
1 : 1 FT
BK Hacken
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
0 : 0 FT
Barcelona
Win 24%
Draw 35%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
1 : 1 FT
Gent
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 4 FT
Napoli
Win 19%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
1 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
2 : 0 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#16 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 1 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
1 : 0 FT
Al Baten
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
1 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62%
#19 La Liga Β· Spain
Granada CF
2 : 3 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 28%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
2 : 2 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 23 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Mjallby AIF vs Halmstad at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.