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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 22 August 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 22 August 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Benevento vs Alessandria at 66% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies seven of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B · Italy
Benevento
4 : 3 FT
Alessandria
Win 15%
Draw 36%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 83% BTTS No 79% Alessandria Clean Sheet 66%
#2 Serie B · Italy
Cremonese
3 : 0 FT
Lecce
Win 15%
Draw 36%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS No 79% Lecce Clean Sheet 66%
#3 Serie B · Italy
Crotone
2 : 2 FT
Como
Win 15%
Draw 36%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 83% BTTS No 79% Como Clean Sheet 66%
#4 Serie B · Italy
Pisa
1 : 0 FT
Spal
Win 15%
Draw 36%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS No 79% Spal Clean Sheet 66%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
1 : 0 FT
Cosenza
Win 15%
Draw 36%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS No 79% Cosenza Clean Sheet 66%
#6 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge
1 : 1 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 69% Forge Clean Sheet 55%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Reggina
0 : 0 FT
Monza
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#8 Serie B · Italy
Ternana
0 : 2 FT
Brescia
Win 25%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#9 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
2 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 25%
Draw 38%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 67%
#10 K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
2 : 2 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 37%
Draw 41%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#12 Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 1 FT
BK Hacken
✓ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#13 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 0 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 19%
Draw 36%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Elche
Win 27%
Draw 43%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#15 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
2 : 2 FT
Charleroi
Win 13%
Draw 20%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#16 Veikkausliiga · Finland
HIFK Helsinki
1 : 5 FT
KuPS
Win 22%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#17 La Liga · Spain
Levante
3 : 3 FT
Real Madrid
Win 22%
Draw 38%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%
#18 Ligue 1 · France
Bordeaux
1 : 1 FT
Angers
Win 15%
Draw 31%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#19 Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Başakşehir
Win 22%
Draw 37%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
#20 Superettan · Sweden
Osters IF
0 : 0 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 22 August 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Benevento vs Alessandria at 66% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.