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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 26 September 2020

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Saturday 26 September 2020. Molde vs Sandefjord sits top on 35% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 35% down to 19%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies six of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the clean sheet market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
0 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
2 : 1 FT
Sirius
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
0 : 0 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
1 : 3 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 4 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 34%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
2 : 0 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 70%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 9 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 26 September 2020?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Molde vs Sandefjord at 35% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.