Most Likely Outcome
Chengdu Better City Win
34%
2.90
25%
3.97
40%
2.48
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.9%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
8.8%
Away win
1 – 2
8.7%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.34
Shenyang Urban xG
Total xG
2.81
1.47
Chengdu Better City xG
Shenyang UrbanDrawChengdu Better City
2.90
34%
Home win
3.97
25%
Draw
2.48
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
53%
Over 2.5
1.89
47%
Under 2.5
2.13
31%
Over 3.5
3.23
69%
Under 3.5
1.45
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.76
43%
BTTS No
2.32
Clean Sheet
23%
4.35
26%
3.82
Win to Nil
8%
12.61
11%
9.47
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 8.8 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.1 | 11.9 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 7.9 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.341
λ Away (xG)
1.470
Total xG
2.811
League avg home goals
1.702
League avg away goals
1.189
Shenyang Urban attack strength
0.875
Shenyang Urban defence strength
0.913
Chengdu Better City attack strength
1.355
Chengdu Better City defence strength
0.901
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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