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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 17 March 2024

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 17 March 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Salford City vs Morecambe at 78% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 48%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England 78%
Salford City
3 : 1 FT
Morecambe
Win 39%
Draw 19%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 86% ✓ BTTS Yes 83%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 65%
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 61%
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 71%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany 59%
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 59%
Cercle Brugge
4 : 0 FT
RWDM
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Premier League Β· England 58%
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
Win 29%
Draw 23%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain 56%
Sevilla
1 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic 55%
FK Jablonec
1 : 2 FT
Plzen
Win 28%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy 55%
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 62%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 54%
Hertha BSC
5 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy 51%
Hellas Verona
1 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 34%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain 50%
Atletico Madrid
0 : 3 FT
Barcelona
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 50%
Heerenveen
2 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain 50%
Villarreal
1 : 0 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 49%
Sporting CP
6 : 1 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France 49%
Rennes
2 : 0 FT
Marseille
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 49%
Hamburger SV
3 : 0 FT
SV Wehen
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany 49%
SC Freiburg
2 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 21%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 48%
MVV
0 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 48%
Trabzonspor
2 : 3 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Sunday 17 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Salford City vs Morecambe at 78% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.