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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Saturday 4 March 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 4 March 2023. Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Freiburg led the list at 61% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 47%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany 61%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany 60%
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 59%
SV Sandhausen
1 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 22%
Draw 20%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine 59%
Oleksandria
2 : 2 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 37%
Draw 22%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 59%
Fatih Karagümrük
4 : 3 FT
Sivasspor
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic 56%
Zbrojovka Brno
1 : 1 FT
Zlin
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 55%
1. FC Heidenheim
1 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 54%
Cercle Brugge
3 : 1 FT
Seraing United
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany 52%
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 28%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria 52%
TSV Hartberg
2 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 21%
Draw 21%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia 51%
Spartak Moscow
2 : 2 FT
Ural
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Premier League Β· England 50%
Southampton
1 : 0 FT
Leicester
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 League One Β· England 49%
Ipswich
4 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 49%
Kayserispor
1 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 31%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy 48%
Atalanta
0 : 0 FT
Udinese
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Premier League Β· Russia 48%
FC Rostov
1 : 3 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain 48%
Almeria
0 : 2 FT
Villarreal
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#18 League Two Β· England 47%
Carlisle
2 : 0 FT
Grimsby
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Premier League Β· Russia 47%
Akhmat
3 : 1 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Premier League Β· Russia 47%
Zenit
3 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Saturday 4 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Freiburg at 61% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.