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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Wednesday 11 January 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Wednesday 11 January 2023. Auxerre vs Toulouse led the list at 51% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 1 supplies six of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France 51%
Auxerre
0 : 5 FT
Toulouse
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France 49%
Lorient
2 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France 48%
Nantes
0 : 0 FT
Lyon
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France 44%
Clermont Foot
2 : 1 FT
Rennes
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France 44%
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France 41%
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 61%

Showing top 6 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Wednesday 11 January 2023?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Auxerre vs Toulouse at 51% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.