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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Wednesday 22 September 2021

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 22 September 2021. IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF sits top on 55% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 1 supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden 55%
IF Elfsborg
0 : 1 FT
Malmo FF
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France 54%
Metz
1 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France 54%
Montpellier
3 : 3 FT
Bordeaux
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland 54%
FC ST. Gallen
0 : 2 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 33%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 38%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France 54%
Angers
0 : 0 FT
Marseille
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France 52%
Lens
0 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy 47%
Cagliari
0 : 2 FT
Empoli
Win 28%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 49%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy 47%
Ternana
3 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 K League 1 Β· South-Korea 46%
FC Seoul
0 : 0 FT
Incheon United
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Super League Β· Switzerland 45%
Lausanne
1 : 6 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 29%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 45%
Antwerp
4 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France 43%
Lyon
3 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy 42%
AC Milan
2 : 0 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden 41%
Djurgardens IF
3 : 2 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain 41%
Sevilla
3 : 1 FT
Valencia
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 15 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Wednesday 22 September 2021?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF at 55% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.