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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 12 September 2021

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 12 September 2021. Lyon vs Strasbourg led the list at 59% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 47%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France 59%
Lyon
3 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy 58%
AC Milan
2 : 0 FT
Lazio
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France 58%
Montpellier
2 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 70%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 58%
SC Paderborn 07
0 : 1 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 70%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 57%
Genk
1 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 37%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy 56%
AS Roma
2 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic 56%
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 3 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway 54%
Molde
4 : 0 FT
Mjondalen
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland 54%
Lausanne
1 : 1 FT
FC Sion
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria 53%
Sturm Graz
2 : 1 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy 53%
Torino
4 : 0 FT
Salernitana
Win 35%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 53%
Gent
2 : 3 FT
Charleroi
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway 52%
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 1 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Super League Β· Switzerland 51%
Servette FC
5 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 50%
Hansa Rostock
2 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 49%
Piast Gliwice
0 : 1 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 49%
Bangkok United
1 : 1 FT
Port FC
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy 48%
Cagliari
2 : 3 FT
Genoa
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil 48%
Palmeiras
1 : 3 FT
Flamengo
Win 18%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy 47%
Spezia
0 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 36%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Sunday 12 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lyon vs Strasbourg at 59% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.