Lokeren-Temse 4-2 RSC Anderlecht II – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Lokeren-Temse at 42% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as Lokeren-Temse face RSC Anderlecht II.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
Lokeren-Temse and RSC Anderlecht II meet at Daknamstadion in Challenger Pro League (matchday 31). This fixture gets under way on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 19:00 UK time.
Form
Lokeren-Temse (all games): 3W 3D 4L across their last 10 — 1.20 PPG. Last five: W L L L W. Offensively they are averaging 1.50 goals per game, with 1.40 conceded. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings (10%). Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone.
Lokeren-Temse's form when playing at home: 2W 6D 2L across their last 10 home games (1.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 90% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
RSC Anderlecht II have collected 1.20 PPG across their last 10 games: 3W 3D 4L. Last five: W W D L L. Their scoring rate of 1.40 per game is modest, conceding 1.30 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%).
When travelling, RSC Anderlecht II have posted 2W 2D 6L from their last 10 away outings — 0.80 PPG. Away from home they average 1.70 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 1.20 PPG for Lokeren-Temse against 1.20 for RSC Anderlecht II. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (from Lokeren-Temse's last 10 home games and RSC Anderlecht II's last 10 away games) — Lokeren-Temse have seen both teams score in 90% of their games, RSC Anderlecht II in 60%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — across the 3 H2H matches in our data, Lokeren-Temse edge it 2 wins to 1, with 0 draws. Neither side has a commanding advantage. With only 3 H2H matches to go on, treat this as a light input.
The 3 H2H matches in our data averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that gives no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent of those, on 26 Oct 2025, ended Lokeren-Temse 2–1 RSC Anderlecht II — a Lokeren-Temse win.
The head-to-head data offers no strong steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the model and current market pricing should carry more weight for this fixture.
Trading
Lokeren-Temse half-time and goal-timing data (last 57 games, 28 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 86% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; of the 20 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 35%; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games).
RSC Anderlecht II half-time and goal-timing data (last 57 games, 28 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 75% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 73% of the time; of the 14 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 43%; of the 24 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 38%; BTTS occurs in 61% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 61% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 47%.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Lokeren-Temse 56% versus RSC Anderlecht II 63%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Lokeren-Temse 47% | RSC Anderlecht II 63%). Note also that RSC Anderlecht II surrender HT leads in 43% of cases while Lokeren-Temse recover from half-time deficits to draw or win 35% of the time — a dynamic that could influence in-play positioning.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Lokeren-Temse 1.87 xG and RSC Anderlecht II 1.73 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Lokeren-Temse attack 1.106 / defence 1.044 | RSC Anderlecht II attack 1.188 / defence 1.211. League average goals — home 1.398 / away 1.394. RSC Anderlecht II's defence rating of 1.211 (above 1 = concedes more than average) is pushing Lokeren-Temse's projected output up. Data: built from Lokeren-Temse's last 57 games and RSC Anderlecht II's last 57.
Result probabilities: Lokeren-Temse 42% | Draw 22% | RSC Anderlecht II 36%. Fair-value odds: Lokeren-Temse 2.38 | Draw 4.57 | RSC Anderlecht II 2.77. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 22% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 70% | BTTS Yes probability 70% | Total xG 3.60. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 70% — a total xG of 3.60 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 70% — both xG figures (1.87 / 1.73) are high enough that each side is projected to find the net.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Lokeren-Temse at 42% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 22% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Lokeren-Temse if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 36% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
Poisson projects 3.60 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 70% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by recent form (Lokeren-Temse's last 10 home games and RSC Anderlecht II's last 10 away games) averaging 3.5 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 70% on Yes. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: Lokeren-Temse 90% (last 10 home games) | RSC Anderlecht II 60% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II | Competition: Challenger Pro League, matchday 31 | Venue: Daknamstadion • Kick-off: Saturday 21 March 2026 at 19:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Lokeren-Temse 42% | Draw 22% | RSC Anderlecht II 36% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 70% (Under 30%) | BTTS Yes 70% (No 30%) | xG Lokeren-Temse 1.87 / RSC Anderlecht II 1.73 • Poisson strength factors: Lokeren-Temse attack 1.106 / def 1.044 | RSC Anderlecht II attack 1.188 / def 1.211 | league avg home 1.398 / away 1.394 • Poisson stance: Lokeren-Temse (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.87
Lokeren-Temse xG
Expected Goals
1.73
RSC Anderlecht II xG
70%
BTTS
87%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II FAQs
What time does Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II kick off?
Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II kicked off at 19:00 UK time on Saturday 21 March 2026 at Daknamstadion.
What was the final score in Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II?
Lokeren-Temse 4 - 2 RSC Anderlecht II.
Where is Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II being played?
The match is being played at Daknamstadion.
What competition is Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II part of?
Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II is a Challenger Pro League fixture (matchday 31) (Belgium).
Who is favourite to win Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II?
Our statistical model gives Lokeren-Temse a 42% chance of winning, RSC Anderlecht II a 36% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw — making Lokeren-Temse the favourite.
Will both teams score in Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II?
Our model estimates a 70% probability that both Lokeren-Temse and RSC Anderlecht II will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 70%, so it leans towards over 2.5 goals.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Lokeren-Temse's attack at 1.11x the league average against RSC Anderlecht II's defence at 1.21x — combine the two and it projects 1.87 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — RSC Anderlecht II's attack (1.19x) against Lokeren-Temse's defence (1.04x) — and the away total comes out at 1.73.
These ratings are built from Lokeren-Temse's last 57 games and RSC Anderlecht II's last 57 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 10.0% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (8.3%), 1-2 (7.6%). Together the top three scorelines make up 26% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Lokeren-Temse Win
42%
2.38
22%
4.57
36%
2.77
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
8.8%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.3%
Home win
1 – 2
7.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.87
Lokeren-Temse xG
Total xG
3.60
1.73
RSC Anderlecht II xG
2.38
42%
Home win
4.57
22%
Draw
2.77
36%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
70%
Over 2.5
1.43
30%
Under 2.5
3.33
49%
Over 3.5
2.04
51%
Under 3.5
1.96
29%
Over 4.5
3.45
71%
Under 4.5
1.41
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
70%
BTTS Yes
1.44
30%
BTTS No
3.29
Clean Sheet
18%
5.64
15%
6.51
Win to Nil
7%
13.43
6%
18.00
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 5.1 | 8.8 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.8 | 8.3 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 5.2 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 10.0%.
How many goals are Lokeren-Temse and RSC Anderlecht II expected to score?
The model projects 1.87 expected goals for Lokeren-Temse and 1.73 for RSC Anderlecht II, a combined total of 3.60.
How confident is the prediction model for Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 42%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Lokeren-Temse's recent record stands at 22W 15D 20L from 57 games, a 1.42 PPG return, with W-L-L-L-W in the last five.
RSC Anderlecht II, meanwhile, have gone 11W 18D 28L across 57 games — 0.89 PPG, with W-W-D-L-L in their last five.
The points-per-game comparison favours Lokeren-Temse by 0.53 — a real, if not enormous, edge over RSC Anderlecht II heading into this one.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, Lokeren-Temse have managed 9W 9D 10L from their last 28 home games — 1.29 PPG in front of their own supporters.
RSC Anderlecht II's away record stands at 5W 8D 15L across their last 28 away games, a 0.82 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Lokeren-Temse come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Lokeren-Temse are averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game recently; RSC Anderlecht II are on 1.40 scored and 1.79 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: RSC Anderlecht II in 63%.
Last 57 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Lokeren-Temse
Current Season
RSC Anderlecht II
Current Season
Lokeren-Temse (Home) vs RSC Anderlecht II (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Lokeren-Temse
Current Season
RSC Anderlecht II
Current Season
❓ Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II Form FAQs
What form are Lokeren-Temse and RSC Anderlecht II in coming into this match?
Lokeren-Temse have gone 22W 15D 20L in their last 57 games (1.42 PPG), while RSC Anderlecht II have gone 11W 18D 28L in their last 57 (0.89 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Lokeren-Temse at home or RSC Anderlecht II away?
Lokeren-Temse's home record (1.29 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Lokeren-Temse at home: 1.29 PPG; RSC Anderlecht II away: 0.82 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
We have 5 H2H matches between these sides on record, dating back to November 2024 — enough to show some patterns. All of them came in Challenger Pro League. The most recent was as recently as 12 September 2026, so it is a fresh reference point.
Records & Recent Trends
Lokeren-Temse have won each of the latest 4 H2H matches we hold, a run that gives them the edge coming in.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Lokeren-Temse won RSC Anderlecht II 2-6 Lokeren-Temse on 12 Sep 2026, the biggest margin in the H2H matches we hold.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Lokeren-Temse have gone 1W 0D 1L from the 2 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against RSC Anderlecht II — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 5 Meetings
4
Lokeren-Temse
0
Draws
1
RSC Anderlecht II
Recent Meetings
❓ Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Lokeren-Temse and RSC Anderlecht II?
Across the 5 head-to-head matches in our data, Lokeren-Temse have won 4, RSC Anderlecht II have won 1, and 0 have been drawn.
When did Lokeren-Temse and RSC Anderlecht II last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 12 September 2026: RSC Anderlecht II 2-6 Lokeren-Temse.
Who has won more matches between Lokeren-Temse and RSC Anderlecht II?
Lokeren-Temse have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from the 5 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Lokeren-Temse are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 86% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 33% of those situations.
RSC Anderlecht II are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 31% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Lokeren-Temse 57%, RSC Anderlecht II 61% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (Lokeren-Temse) and 61% (RSC Anderlecht II). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 36% and 46% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Lokeren-Temse home games / RSC Anderlecht II away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Lokeren-Temse vs RSC Anderlecht II Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Lokeren-Temse and RSC Anderlecht II matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 57% of Lokeren-Temse's games and 61% of RSC Anderlecht II's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are Lokeren-Temse and RSC Anderlecht II matches usually high-scoring?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 50% of Lokeren-Temse's matches and 61% of RSC Anderlecht II's.
Do Lokeren-Temse and RSC Anderlecht II matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 86% of Lokeren-Temse's recent matches and 75% of RSC Anderlecht II's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Lokeren-Temse cruise to a comfortable 4-2 victory over RSC Anderlecht II.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Lokeren-Temse beat RSC Anderlecht II 4-2 at Daknamstadion, Regular Season - 31, in the Challenger Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Lokeren-Temse 1.87 xG and RSC Anderlecht II 1.73 xG, a combined 3.60. The scoreboard read 4-2 for 6 actual goals. Lokeren-Temse beat their projection by 2.1 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Lokeren-Temse attack 1.11 / defence 1.04 against RSC Anderlecht II attack 1.19 / defence 1.21, drawn from 57/57 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Lokeren-Temse 42% | Draw 22% | RSC Anderlecht II 36%, with Lokeren-Temse to win its most likely call at 42%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 70%. The game delivered 6, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 87% and landed. Over 3.5 was 49% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 70% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Lokeren-Temse 47%, RSC Anderlecht II 63%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Lokeren-Temse's trading profile (57 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did.
RSC Anderlecht II's trading profile (57 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
On form, Lokeren-Temse arrived the stronger side — 1.42 PPG against 0.89. Form held, and they took the win. Lokeren-Temse (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.39 average — above their attacking norm. RSC Anderlecht II (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 1.86 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.