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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 7 May 2027

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Friday 7 May 2027. Boulogne vs Montpellier sits top on 55% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 2 supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Boulogne
– : – 18:00
Montpellier
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
– : – 18:00
PAU
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
– : – 18:00
NAC Breda
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Nantes
– : – 18:00
Dijon
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
– : – 18:00
Clermont Foot
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
– : – 18:00
Dunkerque
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
– : – 18:00
Laval
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
– : – 18:00
VVV Venlo
Win 38%
Draw 21%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 73%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
– : – 18:00
Roda
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
– : – 18:00
Jong PSV U21
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
– : – 18:00
Vitesse
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
– : – 18:00
Jong AZ
Win 46%
Draw 21%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 74%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
– : – 18:00
Jong Utrecht
Win 49%
Draw 20%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 73%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 7 May 2027?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Boulogne vs Montpellier at 55% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.