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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 9 May 2027

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 9 May 2027. ADO Den Haag vs NEC Nijmegen sits top on 76% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 39%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eredivisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
: 15:00
NEC Nijmegen
Win 11%
Draw 13%
Win 76%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Venezia
: 16:30
Como
Win 12%
Draw 19%
Win 69%
Over 2.5 56%
#3 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
: 15:00
Heerenveen
Win 17%
Draw 16%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
: 15:00
Feyenoord
Win 17%
Draw 17%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 72%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
: 16:30
AS Roma
Win 16%
Draw 21%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 55%
#6 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II
: 15:00
Telstar
Win 18%
Draw 20%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
: 15:00
Benfica
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Serie A · Italy
Genoa
: 16:30
Cagliari
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
#9 Serie A · Italy
Frosinone
: 16:30
Atalanta
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional
: 15:00
FC Porto
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Serie A · Italy
Parma
: 16:30
AC Milan
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#12 Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
: 15:00
Ajax
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#13 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
: 15:00
Vitória SC
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Academico Viseu
: 15:00
Moreirense
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#15 La Liga · Spain
Valencia
: 15:00
Atletico Madrid
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
: 15:00
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Serie A · Italy
Udinese
: 16:30
Juventus
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#18 La Liga · Spain
Racing Santander
: 15:00
Sevilla
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#19 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
: 15:00
Barcelona
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#20 Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
: 12:00
Göztepe
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 9 May 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by ADO Den Haag vs NEC Nijmegen at 76% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.