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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 11 December 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Friday 11 December 2026. Austria Lustenau vs TSV Hartberg sits top on 66% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Lustenau
– : – 18:30
TSV Hartberg
Win 12%
Draw 22%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
– : – 19:00
Montpellier
Win 13%
Draw 21%
Win 66%
BTTS No 57%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Nantes
– : – 19:00
Annecy
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
– : – 19:00
Reims
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
– : – 19:00
NAC Breda
Win 36%
Draw 21%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
#6 Championship · England
Bolton
– : – 20:00
Wrexham
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Ligue 1 · France
Auxerre
– : – 19:45
Toulouse
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
– : – 19:00
VVV Venlo
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
– : – 19:00
Grenoble
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 56%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
– : – 19:00
Waalwijk
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Boulogne
– : – 19:00
Rodez
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
– : – 19:00
Jong PSV U21
Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
– : – 19:00
Dunkerque
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
– : – 19:00
Den Bosch
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
– : – 19:00
MVV
Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
#16 Süper Lig · Turkey
Çorum FK
– : – 17:00
Amed
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
– : – 19:00
Saint Etienne
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
– : – 19:00
Dijon
Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#19 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
– : – 19:00
Dordrecht
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 19 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 11 December 2026?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Austria Lustenau vs TSV Hartberg at 66% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.