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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 17 October 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 17 October 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Telstar vs Feyenoord at 73% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 43%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
3 : 4 FT
Feyenoord
Win 11%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 73%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 11%
Draw 15%
Win 73%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#3 League One Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 15%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Venezia
1 : 0 FT
Napoli
Win 16%
Draw 21%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 57%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam
0 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 18%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Estac Troyes
1 : 3 FT
Lens
Win 20%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 League One Β· England
Leicester
2 : 1 FT
Doncaster
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
#9 League One Β· England
Wigan
1 : 0 FT
Reading
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Carrarese
2 : 1 FT
Modena
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 0 FT
Al Ain
Win 30%
Draw 22%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
0 : 0 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Lustenau
0 : 4 FT
Lask Linz
Win 25%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 67%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
1 : 3 FT
Inter
Win 27%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France
RED Star FC 93
0 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
0 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
1 : 0 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 33%
Draw 22%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
2 : 5 FT
Barcelona
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 34%
Draw 22%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#20 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
0 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 29%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 17 October 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Telstar vs Feyenoord at 73% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.