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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 11 July 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 11 July 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers at 53% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

K League 1 supplies three of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 3 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 21%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
4 : 3 FT
BK Hacken
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
2 : 0 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#4 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 3 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 30%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 1 FT
Bucheon FC 1995
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
1 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 35%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 54%
#7 Super League Β· China
Sichuan Jiuniu
3 : 0 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
2 : 2 FT
Molde
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 8 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 11 July 2026?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers at 53% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.