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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 5 July 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 5 July 2026. Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC sits top on 50% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the away win market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
1 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 31%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 53%
#4 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Supra du Quebec
1 : 2 FT
Forge
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 2 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 21%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 6 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 5 July 2026?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC at 50% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.