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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Monday 6 April 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 6 April 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Roda vs Willem II at 60% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 40%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
0 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 19%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 60%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 1 FT
Benfica
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Championship · England
Hull City
0 : 0 FT
Coventry
Win 22%
Draw 23%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#4 League Two · England
Barrow
0 : 1 FT
Chesterfield
Win 21%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Udinese
0 : 0 FT
Como
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 21%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#7 League One · England
Barnsley
0 : 3 FT
Plymouth
Win 27%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Nieciecza
3 : 2 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 2 FT
Waalwijk
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Bari
3 : 1 FT
Modena
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#11 League Two · England
Tranmere
0 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 26%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#12 League Two · England
Gillingham
2 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
5 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 35%
Draw 20%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 76%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Lecce
0 : 3 FT
Atalanta
Win 25%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#15 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
2 : 3 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 25%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#16 League One · England
Reading
1 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 31%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kocaelispor
0 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
Win 25%
Draw 33%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#18 Serie A · Italy
Napoli
1 : 0 FT
AC Milan
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#19 Championship · England
Bristol City
1 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Championship · England
Swansea
2 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 6 April 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Roda vs Willem II at 60% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.