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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Monday 23 February 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 23 February 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Damac vs Al-Ahli Jeddah at 56% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#2 League Two Β· England
Walsall
0 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 52%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Everton
0 : 1 FT
Manchester United
Win 27%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 45%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 35%
Draw 23%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
1 : 0 FT
Udinese
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kudrivka
2 : 2 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
0 : 3 CANC
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 33%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Mans
1 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
2 : 2 FT
Girona
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
3 : 1 FT
Al Riyadh
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 23 February 2026?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Damac vs Al-Ahli Jeddah at 56% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.