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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Wednesday 28 January 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 28 January 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Ajman vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 62% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies four of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
0 : 1 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 14%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KAA Gent II
2 : 4 FT
SK Beveren
Win 20%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 57%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
0 : 2 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 29%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
3 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RSC Anderlecht II
2 : 2 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
4 : 2 FT
Santos
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Najma
1 : 1 FT
Al Riyadh
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 2 FT
Palmeiras
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 8 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 28 January 2026?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajman vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 62% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.