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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Monday 12 January 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Monday 12 January 2026. Sevilla vs Celta Vigo sits top on 47% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 33%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
0 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 47%
BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
3 : 0 FT
Cagliari
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
1 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 2 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 42%
Draw 21%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
3 : 2 FT
Al Najma
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 6 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 12 January 2026?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Sevilla vs Celta Vigo at 47% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.