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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Wednesday 3 April 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 3 April 2024. Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar led the list at 56% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the away win market — 22%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
5 : 0 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heerenveen
3 : 3 FT
Twente
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kayserispor
0 : 2 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 36%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 36%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Brentford
0 : 0 FT
Brighton
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
#6 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gangwon FC
3 : 0 FT
Daegu FC
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Zurich
0 : 0 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Seoul
5 : 1 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
1 : 3 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 9 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 3 April 2024?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar at 56% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.