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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 2 April 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Tuesday 2 April 2024. Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven led the list at 71% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 36%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
0 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 12%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 71%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
0 : 8 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 21%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Burnley
1 : 1 FT
Wolves
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
2 : 3 FT
Al Taawon
Win 26%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Tottenham
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#6 League One Β· England
Portsmouth
2 : 2 FT
Derby
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
KFUM Oslo
1 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
1 : 4 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 29%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
0 : 3 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 32%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 57%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 1 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 28%
Draw 35%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 54%
#11 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
2 : 0 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#13 League Two Β· England
Doncaster
1 : 0 FT
Wrexham
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 14 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 2 April 2024?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven at 71% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.