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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 27 January 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 27 January 2024. The strongest reading belongs to KRC Genk II vs RSC Anderlecht II at 59% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 43%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KRC Genk II
3 : 0 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 20%
Draw 20%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
2 : 4 FT
Ajax
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Kifisia
0 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 21%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 58%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
3 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 55%
#5 League Two Β· England
Doncaster
1 : 5 FT
Stockport County
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 League One Β· England
Carlisle
1 : 4 FT
Bolton
Win 20%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 League Two Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 26%
Draw 23%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 30%
Draw 20%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Osnabrück
0 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 League One Β· England
Port Vale
0 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 26%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 49%
BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Super League Β· Switzerland
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1 : 3 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 32%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
Valenciennes
3 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#14 League Two Β· England
Forest Green
0 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 56%
#15 League Two Β· England
Grimsby
1 : 2 FT
Tranmere
Win 33%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 2 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 32%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#17 League One Β· England
Lincoln
0 : 0 FT
Peterborough
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
1 : 1 FT
Grenoble
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
1 : 4 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 28%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#20 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 0 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 27 January 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by KRC Genk II vs RSC Anderlecht II at 59% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.