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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 25 November 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 25 November 2023. Al-Hazm vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC sits top on 75% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 45%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the away win market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
0 : 9 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 10%
Draw 15%
βœ“ Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Burnley
1 : 2 FT
West Ham
Win 18%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Hatta SC
0 : 1 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 20%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
0 : 2 FT
Laval
Win 14%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Laval Clean Sheet 57%
#5 League One Β· England
Cheltenham
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 League Two Β· England
Newport County
2 : 1 FT
Stockport County
Win 23%
Draw 20%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Minai
0 : 1 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 15%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Kryvbas KR Clean Sheet 53%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
0 : 3 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 19%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
2 : 4 FT
Feyenoord
Win 19%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
2 : 5 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
1 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hansa Rostock
2 : 3 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 22%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 56%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Elversberg
4 : 1 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
0 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 27%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
2 : 1 FT
Lazio
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 53%
#16 League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
2 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 30%
Draw 22%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
2 : 4 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 32%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#19 League One Β· England
Carlisle
1 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liege
1 : 0 FT
Genk
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 25 November 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hazm vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 75% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.