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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Wednesday 3 May 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Wednesday 3 May 2023. Al Taawon vs Al-Ittihad FC led the list at 67% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 42%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 13%
Draw 20%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 2 FT
Torino
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
1 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 League Two Β· England
Crewe
3 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 6 FT
Inter
Win 35%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 54%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
3 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
3 : 3 FT
Fiorentina
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 53%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
0 : 2 FT
Antwerp
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Lviv
0 : 1 FT
Oleksandria
Win 34%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
1 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Wehda Club
0 : 2 FT
Damac
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
0 : 0 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 34%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 3 May 2023?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Taawon vs Al-Ittihad FC at 67% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.