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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 12 March 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 12 March 2023. Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk led the list at 69% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the away win market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
0 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 13%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heerenveen
2 : 4 FT
Ajax
Win 14%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 1 FT
PAOK
Win 13%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 61%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Levadiakos
2 : 0 FT
OFI
Win 10%
Draw 30%
Win 60%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 61% OFI Clean Sheet 56%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Maritimo
0 : 3 FT
Benfica
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Lask Linz
0 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 24%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 54%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
0 : 1 FT
Buriram United
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 54%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy
Cremonese
0 : 2 FT
Fiorentina
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Fulham
0 : 3 FT
Arsenal
Win 23%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 52%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
2 : 6 FT
Gent
Win 27%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#11 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lampang FC
1 : 3 FT
Port FC
Win 20%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
2 : 2 FT
Nice
Win 19%
Draw 33%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ümraniyespor
3 : 0 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 53%
#14 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
4 : 2 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
2 : 2 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Ajaccio
0 : 1 FT
Montpellier
Win 27%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
0 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 28%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 4 FT
Lens
Win 24%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers
0 : 2 FT
Toulouse
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
2 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 12 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk at 69% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.