Sign in Register
✈️

Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 12 February 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 12 February 2023. Lampang FC vs Chiangrai United sits top on 55% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 36%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the away win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lampang FC
0 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
1 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 19%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 0 FT
Utrecht
Win 27%
Draw 22%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 77%
#4 Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
4 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 1 FT
Lask Linz
Win 29%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 47%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
4 : 4 FT
Buriram United
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
3 : 1 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 2 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 26%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
0 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 27%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#10 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
3 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 55%
#11 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Maritimo
1 : 2 FT
SC Braga
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 56%
#12 Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
3 : 0 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 56%
#13 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
2 : 6 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 30%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#15 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 33%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 40%
#16 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
0 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 31%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#17 Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
1 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#19 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Police Tero
1 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 29%
Draw 35%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#20 Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
2 : 1 FT
Atromitos
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 12 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lampang FC vs Chiangrai United at 55% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.