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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 10 September 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 10 September 2022. Cadiz vs Barcelona led the list at 70% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
0 : 4 FT
Barcelona
Win 12%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
0 : 2 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 12%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 69%
Over 2.5 56%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Niort
0 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 62%
Over 2.5 57%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Ried
0 : 3 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
3 : 1 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 24%
Draw 20%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
2 : 2 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
0 : 1 FT
Benfica
Win 21%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
1 : 1 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
2 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Saint Etienne
2 : 0 FT
Bordeaux
Win 24%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Winterthur
0 : 6 FT
FC Luzern
Win 22%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dijon
0 : 2 FT
Sochaux
Win 25%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 3 FT
Plzen
Win 19%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#14 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Seongnam FC
0 : 4 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 34%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
#15 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
2 : 2 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Perugia
1 : 0 FT
Ascoli
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 25%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
1 : 1 FT
Valenciennes
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#19 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
1 : 0 FT
Valour
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
1 : 3 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 34%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 10 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cadiz vs Barcelona at 70% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.