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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 7 August 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 7 August 2022. Kristiansund BK vs Molde led the list at 59% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 36%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the away win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
2 : 3 FT
Molde
Win 19%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 2 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 25%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Varnamo
0 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Veikkausliiga · Finland
AC Oulu
1 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
#5 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 5 FT
Feyenoord
Win 29%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Premier League · England
West Ham
0 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 29%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 47%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
2 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#9 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
1 : 2 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 31%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 0 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
1 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#12 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
0 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 29%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#13 Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
0 : 1 FT
Twente
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#14 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
2 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 38%
Draw 20%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#15 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 1 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#16 Superettan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK
3 : 1 FT
Landskrona BoIS
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 59%
#17 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#18 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
0 : 0 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 64%
#20 Premier League · Russia
Torpedo Moskva
1 : 3 FT
Khimki
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 7 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kristiansund BK vs Molde at 59% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.