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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 10 September 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 10 September 2021. Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC sits top on 51% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 16%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
0 : 0 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
2 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 19%
Draw 32%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#3 Championship · England
Birmingham
2 : 0 FT
Derby
Win 22%
Draw 35%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
3 : 0 FT
Oostende
Win 36%
Draw 22%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#5 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
3 : 1 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 3 FT
FC Volendam
Win 34%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 53%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 40%
Draw 21%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#8 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Deinze
3 : 1 FT
Royal Excel Mouscron
Win 26%
Draw 35%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 58%
#9 K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
0 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
3 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 58%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
3 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
7 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#13 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
2 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
✓ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
0 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#17 League Two · England
Barrow
2 : 3 FT
Colchester
Win 30%
Draw 37%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%
#18 Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
2 : 1 FT
Lille
✓ Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
2 : 2 FT
Finn Harps
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 19 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 10 September 2021?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda FC at 51% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.