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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 30 May 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 30 May 2021. Bahia vs Santos led the list at 49% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 31%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
3 : 0 FT
Santos
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 0 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
0 : 3 FT
Lahti
Win 30%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 56%
#4 Primera División · Chile
Everton de Vina
1 : 0 FT
Santiago Wanderers
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
– : – CANC
Molde
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
0 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 33%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 40%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
3 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Superettan · Sweden
Vasalund
1 : 0 FT
Osters IF
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#9 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
3 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Eliteserien · Norway
Mjondalen
0 : 0 FT
Molde
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
– : – CANC
Mjondalen
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 54%
#12 K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 32%
Draw 36%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
– : – CANC
Stabaek
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#14 Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
0 : 1 FT
Atletico Goianiense
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 0 FT
America Mineiro
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#16 Serie A · Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
0 : 3 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 16 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 30 May 2021?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bahia vs Santos at 49% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.