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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Group - 31

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

16:00

Venue

Stadion Hartberg

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

TSV Hartberg Win

38%

TSV Hartberg

2.64

29%

Draw

3.40

33%

Sturm Graz

3.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

TSV Hartberg xG

Total xG

2.35

1.12

Sturm Graz xG

38%
29%
33%
TSV HartbergDrawSturm Graz

2.64

38%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

3.06

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

33%

TSV Hartberg

3.07

29%

Sturm Graz

3.40

Win to Nil

12%

TSV Hartberg

8.11

10%

Sturm Graz

10.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 10.7 6.0 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 11.7 13.1 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.2 8.1 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.9 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.225
λ Away (xG) 1.121
Total xG 2.346
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.147
TSV Hartberg attack strength 0.902
TSV Hartberg defence strength 0.890
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.098
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.010
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44