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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Group - 26

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

13:30

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

37%

Sturm Graz

2.73

31%

Draw

3.21

32%

TSV Hartberg

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

2.15

1.03

TSV Hartberg xG

37%
31%
32%
Sturm GrazDrawTSV Hartberg

2.73

37%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

36%

Sturm Graz

2.80

33%

TSV Hartberg

3.05

Win to Nil

13%

Sturm Graz

7.66

11%

TSV Hartberg

9.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 12.1 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.1 13.4 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.3 7.5 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.7 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.115
λ Away (xG) 1.030
Total xG 2.145
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.147
Sturm Graz attack strength 0.962
Sturm Graz defence strength 0.926
TSV Hartberg attack strength 0.970
TSV Hartberg defence strength 0.861
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44