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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Group - 25

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

16:00

Venue

Allianz Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rapid Vienna Win

41%

Rapid Vienna

2.45

29%

Draw

3.50

31%

Sturm Graz

3.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Rapid Vienna xG

Total xG

2.46

1.12

Sturm Graz xG

41%
29%
31%
Rapid ViennaDrawSturm Graz

2.45

41%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

3.28

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

33%

Rapid Vienna

3.07

26%

Sturm Graz

3.81

Win to Nil

13%

Rapid Vienna

7.52

8%

Sturm Graz

12.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 9.6 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.4 12.8 7.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 8.6 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.4 3.8 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.338
λ Away (xG) 1.122
Total xG 2.460
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.147
Rapid Vienna attack strength 0.983
Rapid Vienna defence strength 0.872
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.121
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.011
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44