Rapid Vienna 1-1 WSG Wattens – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model favours Rapid Vienna (54%) — recent form and the head-to-head data both point the same way as Rapid Vienna face WSG Wattens.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
WSG Wattens travel to Allianz Stadion to take on Rapid Vienna in Bundesliga (matchday 5). The game is scheduled for Sunday 27 August 2023 at 17:00 UK time.
Form Analysis
Looking at their last 10 matches, Rapid Vienna stand at 3W 3D 4L — 1.20 PPG. Last five: L D W L W. Offensively they are averaging 1.80 goals per game, with 1.30 conceded. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
Rapid Vienna's form when playing at home: 5W 3D 2L across their last 10 home games (1.80 PPG). They are averaging 2.20 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture. Their home PPG of 1.80 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.20 — Rapid Vienna are significantly better at home than their overall form suggests.
WSG Wattens — last 10 games: 1W 4D 5L — 0.70 PPG. Last five: D L L L D. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 2.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.00 per game is a high rate — their defence has been exposed regularly. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
WSG Wattens's form when playing away from home: 2W 2D 6L across their last 10 road games (0.80 PPG). Away from home they average 0.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
Rapid Vienna are in the better shape of the two on recent form — 0.50 PPG ahead (1.20 vs 0.70). That form margin is the baseline of a sensible selection even before other signals are layered in.
Head to Head
The head-to-head sample comes down firmly in favour of Rapid Vienna: 3 wins from 3 H2H matches against 0 for WSG Wattens, with 0 draws. With only 3 H2H matches to go on, treat this as a light input.
The 3 H2H matches in our data have been high-scoring — 3.0 goals per game on average — which backs the Over 2.5 market from the head-to-head side. The most recent of those, on 12 Mar 2023, ended Rapid Vienna 2–0 WSG Wattens — a Rapid Vienna win.
From a betting standpoint, the H2H data backs both Rapid Vienna and goals — 3 wins from 3 H2H matches and an average of 3.0 goals per game give the home win and Over 2.5 combination a head-to-head case.
In-Play Data
Rapid Vienna trading profile (last 36 games, 18 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 78% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; of the 10 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 30%; BTTS occurs in 61% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 56% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 36%.
WSG Wattens trading profile (last 36 games, 18 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 67% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 70% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; of the 11 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 36%; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 61% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 36%; they fail to score in 36% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Rapid Vienna 61% versus WSG Wattens 58%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Rapid Vienna 58% | WSG Wattens 56%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Rapid Vienna 1.65 xG and WSG Wattens 0.86 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Rapid Vienna attack 1.170 / defence 0.803 | WSG Wattens attack 0.742 / defence 1.147. League average goals — home 1.230 / away 1.441. WSG Wattens's attack rating of 0.742 is below the league average, which holds their xG down at 0.86. Data: built from Rapid Vienna's last 26 games and WSG Wattens's last 26. Some of those games are older results, so treat these probabilities as directional rather than precise.
Result probabilities: Rapid Vienna 54% | Draw 30% | WSG Wattens 17%. Fair-value odds: Rapid Vienna 1.87 | Draw 3.37 | WSG Wattens 5.93. Rapid Vienna hold a narrow Poisson edge at 54% — the draw (30%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 46% | BTTS Yes probability 49% | Total xG 2.51. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 46%/54% — the total xG of 2.51 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS No at 51% is only a slight lean — the model gives both sides a fair chance of scoring, so No isn't a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Rapid Vienna at 54% — moderate model lean. Recent form and the head-to-head data both align with the Poisson read — multi-source corroboration increases confidence in this selection. With a 30% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Rapid Vienna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
The Poisson model projects 2.51 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 54% — low conviction — though recent form (Rapid Vienna's last 10 home games and WSG Wattens's last 10 away games) averaging 3.0 goals per game and the H2H data averaging 3.0 goals per game across 3 H2H matches point the other way.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 51% on No. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: Rapid Vienna 60% (last 10 home games) | WSG Wattens 30% (last 10 away games).
The Poisson model's sample (Rapid Vienna 26 games, WSG Wattens 26) includes some older results, so its projections carry extra uncertainty — weight recent form and the odds accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens | Competition: Bundesliga, matchday 5 | Venue: Allianz Stadion • Kick-off: Sunday 27 August 2023 at 17:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Rapid Vienna 54% | Draw 30% | WSG Wattens 17% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 46% (Under 54%) | BTTS Yes 49% (No 51%) | xG Rapid Vienna 1.65 / WSG Wattens 0.86 • Poisson strength factors: Rapid Vienna attack 1.170 / def 0.803 | WSG Wattens attack 0.742 / def 1.147 | league avg home 1.230 / away 1.441 • Poisson stance: Rapid Vienna (54%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.65
Rapid Vienna xG
Expected Goals
0.86
WSG Wattens xG
49%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
46%
Over 2.5
24%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens FAQs
What time does Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens kick off?
Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens kicked off at 17:00 UK time on Sunday 27 August 2023 at Allianz Stadion.
What was the final score in Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens?
Rapid Vienna 1 - 1 WSG Wattens.
Where is Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens being played?
The match is being played at Allianz Stadion.
What competition is Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens part of?
Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens is a Bundesliga fixture (matchday 5) (Austria).
Who is favourite to win Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens?
Our statistical model gives Rapid Vienna a 54% chance of winning, WSG Wattens a 17% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Rapid Vienna the favourite.
Will both teams score in Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens?
Our model estimates a 49% probability that both Rapid Vienna and WSG Wattens will score, so it leans towards BTTS No (51%).
Will Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 46%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (54%).
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Rapid Vienna's attacking strength (1.17x league average) is weighed against WSG Wattens's defensive record (1.15x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.65. The same calculation in reverse, WSG Wattens's attack versus Rapid Vienna's defence, projects 0.86 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from Rapid Vienna's last 26 games and WSG Wattens's last 26, a sample that still includes some older results.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.0%. Close behind: 1-0 (11.9%), 2-0 (11.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 36% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Rapid Vienna Win
54%
1.87
30%
3.37
17%
5.93
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.5%
Draw
2 – 0
11.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.65
Rapid Vienna xG
Total xG
2.51
0.86
WSG Wattens xG
1.87
54%
Home win
3.37
30%
Draw
5.93
17%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
46%
Over 2.5
2.17
54%
Under 2.5
1.85
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.03
51%
BTTS No
1.97
Clean Sheet
42%
2.36
19%
5.21
Win to Nil
23%
4.41
3%
30.88
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 13.4 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.1 | 9.5 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 6.1 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.0%.
How many goals are Rapid Vienna and WSG Wattens expected to score?
The model projects 1.65 expected goals for Rapid Vienna and 0.86 for WSG Wattens, a combined total of 2.51.
How confident is the prediction model for Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 54%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Rapid Vienna's recent record stands at 14W 7D 15L from 36 games, a 1.36 PPG return, with L-D-W-L-W in the last five.
WSG Wattens, meanwhile, have gone 10W 9D 17L across 36 games — 1.08 PPG, with D-L-L-L-D in their last five.
Form-wise this is close to level: Rapid Vienna on 1.36 PPG, WSG Wattens on 1.08. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
At home specifically, Rapid Vienna have managed 8W 4D 6L from their last 18 home games — 1.56 PPG in front of their own supporters.
WSG Wattens's away record stands at 6W 2D 10L across their last 18 away games, a 1.11 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Rapid Vienna come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Rapid Vienna are averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game recently; WSG Wattens are on 1.28 scored and 1.69 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Rapid Vienna have seen both teams score in 61% of their recent games.
Last 36 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Rapid Vienna
Early Season
WSG Wattens
Early Season
Rapid Vienna (Home) vs WSG Wattens (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Rapid Vienna
Early Season
WSG Wattens
Early Season
❓ Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens Form FAQs
What form are Rapid Vienna and WSG Wattens in coming into this match?
Rapid Vienna have gone 14W 7D 15L in their last 36 games (1.36 PPG), while WSG Wattens have gone 10W 9D 17L in their last 36 (1.08 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Rapid Vienna at home or WSG Wattens away?
Rapid Vienna's home record (1.56 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Rapid Vienna at home: 1.56 PPG; WSG Wattens away: 1.11 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The head-to-head numbers here are drawn from the 10 H2H matches in our data, going back to May 2022. All of them came in Bundesliga. The most recent was as recently as 18 September 2026, so it is a fresh reference point.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap in our H2H data came on 1 Oct 2022, when Rapid Vienna won WSG Wattens 0-5 Rapid Vienna.
Rapid Vienna's record when hosting WSG Wattens specifically: 5W 1D 0L from 6 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
7
Rapid Vienna
3
Draws
0
WSG Wattens
Recent Meetings
❓ Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Rapid Vienna and WSG Wattens?
Across the 10 head-to-head matches in our data, Rapid Vienna have won 7, WSG Wattens have won 0, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Rapid Vienna and WSG Wattens last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 18 September 2026: Rapid Vienna 3-0 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between Rapid Vienna and WSG Wattens?
Rapid Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 7 wins from the 10 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Rapid Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 78% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 28% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 40% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 14% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Rapid Vienna 61%, WSG Wattens 56% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 56% (Rapid Vienna) and 61% (WSG Wattens). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 39% and 28% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: WSG Wattens in 44%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Rapid Vienna home games / WSG Wattens away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Rapid Vienna and WSG Wattens matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 61% of Rapid Vienna's games and 56% of WSG Wattens's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are Rapid Vienna and WSG Wattens matches usually high-scoring?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 56% of Rapid Vienna's matches and 61% of WSG Wattens's.
Do Rapid Vienna and WSG Wattens matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 78% of Rapid Vienna's recent matches and 67% of WSG Wattens's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Rapid Vienna and WSG Wattens share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Allianz Stadion, Regular Season - 5, as Rapid Vienna and WSG Wattens drew 1-1 in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Rapid Vienna 1.65 xG and WSG Wattens 0.86 xG, a combined 2.51. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Rapid Vienna attack 1.17 / defence 0.80 against WSG Wattens attack 0.74 / defence 1.15, drawn from 26/26 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it Rapid Vienna 54% | Draw 30% | WSG Wattens 17%, with Rapid Vienna to win its most likely call at 54%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Rapid Vienna 58%, WSG Wattens 56%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Rapid Vienna's trading profile (36 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did.
WSG Wattens's trading profile (36 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Rapid Vienna 1.36 PPG, WSG Wattens 1.08 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Rapid Vienna (home/away splits) managed 1 against a 1.83 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.