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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Thursday 17 September 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Three fixtures clear the bar on today's card. The strongest reading belongs to FC Orenburg vs FC Krasnodar at 49% in the Premier League.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Orenburg
0 : 0 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
Akron
: 15:30
Akhmat
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 54%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Malaga
: 19:30
Villarreal
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 3 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualify for Away Win today?

three fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Orenburg vs FC Krasnodar at 49% away win probability. The list is regenerated as the model reruns, so it can change during the day.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.