Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 FC Anyang – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Jeonbuk Motors at 50% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as Jeonbuk Motors face FC Anyang.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Jeonju World Cup Stadium plays host to Jeonbuk Motors versus FC Anyang in K League 1 (matchday 14). Kick-off: Saturday 17 May 2025 at 09:30 UK time.
Form
Jeonbuk Motors (all games): 4W 3D 3L across their last 10 — 1.50 PPG. Last five: D W D W W. They are averaging 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets.
Jeonbuk Motors's form when playing at home: 6W 2D 2L across their last 10 home games (2.00 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their home PPG of 2.00 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.50 — Jeonbuk Motors are significantly better at home than their overall form suggests.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — across the 1 H2H match in our data, Jeonbuk Motors edge it 1 wins to 0, with 0 draws. Neither side has a commanding advantage. With only 1 H2H match to go on, treat this as a light input.
Goals have been at a premium in this fixture — just 1.0 per game across the 1 H2H match we hold, giving Under 2.5 a clear head-to-head base rate. The most recent of those, on 30 Mar 2025, ended Jeonbuk Motors 1–0 FC Anyang — a Jeonbuk Motors win.
With a balanced win record and just 1.0 goals per game, the H2H data points toward a tight, low-scoring contest — Under 2.5 is the stronger head-to-head angle regardless of which side wins.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Jeonbuk Motors 1.56 xG and FC Anyang 1.00 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.103 / defence 1.030 | FC Anyang attack 0.906 / defence 1.189. League average goals — home 1.188 / away 1.073. Data: built from Jeonbuk Motors's last 46 games and FC Anyang's last 14.
Result probabilities: Jeonbuk Motors 50% | Draw 25% | FC Anyang 24%. Fair-value odds: Jeonbuk Motors 1.99 | Draw 3.94 | FC Anyang 4.12. Jeonbuk Motors hold a narrow Poisson edge at 50% — the draw (25%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 47% | BTTS Yes probability 50% | Total xG 2.56. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 47%/53% — the total xG of 2.56 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS Yes at 50% is only a slight lean — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Jeonbuk Motors as the most likely outcome at 50% — moderate model lean. Draw probability of 25% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Jeonbuk Motors if the outright odds are short.
The Poisson model projects 2.56 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 53% — a Poisson-only call with no corroboration from form or H2H.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang | Competition: K League 1, matchday 14 | Venue: Jeonju World Cup Stadium • Kick-off: Saturday 17 May 2025 at 09:30 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Jeonbuk Motors 50% | Draw 25% | FC Anyang 24% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 47% (Under 53%) | BTTS Yes 50% (No 50%) | xG Jeonbuk Motors 1.56 / FC Anyang 1.00 • Poisson strength factors: Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.103 / def 1.030 | FC Anyang attack 0.906 / def 1.189 | league avg home 1.188 / away 1.073 • Poisson stance: Jeonbuk Motors (50%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.56
Jeonbuk Motors xG
Expected Goals
1.00
FC Anyang xG
50%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
47%
Over 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang FAQs
What time does Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang kick off?
Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang kicked off at 09:30 UK time on Saturday 17 May 2025 at Jeonju World Cup Stadium.
What was the final score in Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang?
Jeonbuk Motors 2 - 0 FC Anyang.
Where is Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang being played?
The match is being played at Jeonju World Cup Stadium.
What competition is Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang part of?
Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang is a K League 1 fixture (matchday 14) (South-Korea).
Who is favourite to win Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang?
Our statistical model gives Jeonbuk Motors a 50% chance of winning, FC Anyang a 24% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making Jeonbuk Motors the favourite.
Will both teams score in Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang?
Our model estimates a 50% probability that both Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang will score — effectively a coin flip.
Will Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 47%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (53%).
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Working from Jeonbuk Motors's attack rating (1.10) and FC Anyang's defence rating (1.19), the model arrives at 1.56 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — FC Anyang's attack (0.91x) against Jeonbuk Motors's defence (1.03x) — and the away total comes out at 1.00.
These ratings are built from Jeonbuk Motors's last 46 games and FC Anyang's last 14 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.6%. Close behind: 1-0 (10.5%), 2-0 (9.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 34% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Jeonbuk Motors Win
50%
1.99
25%
3.94
24%
4.12
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
12.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.1%
Draw
2 – 0
9.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.56
Jeonbuk Motors xG
Total xG
2.56
1.00
FC Anyang xG
1.99
50%
Home win
3.94
25%
Draw
4.12
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.00
50%
BTTS No
2.00
Clean Sheet
37%
2.72
21%
4.75
Win to Nil
19%
5.41
5%
19.56
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.1 | 12.1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.4 | 9.4 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.6%.
How many goals are Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang expected to score?
The model projects 1.56 expected goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 1.00 for FC Anyang, a combined total of 2.56.
How confident is the prediction model for Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 50%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
Last 0 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Jeonbuk Motors
Pre-Season
FC Anyang
Pre-Season
No results found.
No results found.
Jeonbuk Motors (Home) vs FC Anyang (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Jeonbuk Motors
Pre-Season
FC Anyang
Pre-Season
No results found for this venue split.
No results found for this venue split.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
We have 6 H2H matches between these sides on record, dating back to March 2025 — enough to show some patterns. All of them came in K League 1. The most recent was as recently as 24 October 2026, so it is a fresh reference point.
Records & Recent Trends
The most recent 2 H2H matches in our data have all been drawn — an unusually settled run for this fixture.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Jeonbuk Motors have gone 3W 0D 0L from the 3 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against FC Anyang — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 6 Meetings
4
Jeonbuk Motors
2
Draws
0
FC Anyang
Recent Meetings
❓ Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Anyang H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang?
Across the 6 head-to-head matches in our data, Jeonbuk Motors have won 4, FC Anyang have won 0, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 24 October 2026: FC Anyang 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors.
Who has won more matches between Jeonbuk Motors and FC Anyang?
Jeonbuk Motors have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from the 6 head-to-head matches in our data.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Jeonbuk Motors home games / FC Anyang away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
Jeonbuk Motors cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over FC Anyang.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Jeonbuk Motors beat FC Anyang 2-0 at Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Regular Season - 14, in the K League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Jeonbuk Motors 1.56 xG and FC Anyang 1.00 xG, a combined 2.56. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. FC Anyang landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Jeonbuk Motors attack 1.10 / defence 1.03 against FC Anyang attack 0.91 / defence 1.19, drawn from 46/14 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Jeonbuk Motors 50% | Draw 25% | FC Anyang 24%, with Jeonbuk Motors to win its most likely call at 50%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.