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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability β€” Friday 27 December 2024

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer β€” 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Two matches cleared our threshold on Friday 27 December 2024. The strongest reading belongs to OH Leuven vs Beerschot VA at 61% in the Jupiler Pro League.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 61%
OH Leuven
2 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 28%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ OH Leuven Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 55%
Arouca
1 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 2 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Under 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Friday 27 December 2024?

two fixtures met the criteria, led by OH Leuven vs Beerschot VA at 61% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.