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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 30 October 2022

Thu 27 Fri 28 Sat 29 Sun 30 Mon 31 Tue 1 Wed 2

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 30 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Real Sociedad vs Real Betis at 75% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 63%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the under 2.5 goals market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Spain 75%

✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%

Super League 1 · Greece 75%

✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 73%

Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%

Primeira Liga · Portugal 72%

✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%

Serie B · Italy 72%

✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Thai League 1 · Thailand 71%

Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%

La Liga · Spain 71%

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%

Premier League · Russia 70%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%

Primera División · Chile 70%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Colo Colo Clean Sheet 56%

#10

Serie A · Italy 68%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%

#11

Premier League · England 67%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%

#12

Ekstraklasa · Poland 67%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#13

Bundesliga · Austria 66%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 64% Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 54%

#14

Primera División · Chile 66%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%

#15

Primera División · Chile 66%

Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#16

Super League 1 · Greece 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#17

Thai League 1 · Thailand 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%

#18

Primera División · Chile 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#19

Serie A · Brazil 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#20

Primeira Liga · Portugal 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 30 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Sociedad vs Real Betis at 75% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.