🧊

Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 17 July 2022

Thu 14 Fri 15 Sat 16 Sun 17 Mon 18 Tue 19 Wed 20

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 17 July 2022. The strongest reading belongs to IFK Goteborg vs Mjallby AIF at 71% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the under 2.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Sweden 71%

✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%

Serie A · Brazil 70%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%

Primera División · Chile 69%

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%

Serie A · Brazil 67%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%

Allsvenskan · Sweden 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Serie A · Brazil 60%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Serie A · Brazil 60%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Primera División · Chile 59%

Primera División · Chile 57%

#10

Premier Division · Ireland 56%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 10 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 17 July 2022?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by IFK Goteborg vs Mjallby AIF at 71% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.