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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 6 March 2022

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Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 6 March 2022. Perugia vs Lecce sits top on 80% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 61%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the under 2.5 goals market — 74%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Italy 80%

✓ Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 69%

Serie A · Italy 73%

✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic 72%

✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%

Super League 1 · Greece 72%

Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 66%

K League 1 · South-Korea 71%

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%

K League 1 · South-Korea 70%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Serie A · Italy 70%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Thai League 1 · Thailand 70%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%

La Liga · Spain 70%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#10

Ekstraklasa · Poland 68%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%

#11

Super League 1 · Greece 68%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#12

Süper Lig · Turkey 68%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#13

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#14

Challenger Pro League · Belgium 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#15

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#16

2. Bundesliga · Germany 63%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%

#17

Bundesliga · Austria 62%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%

#18

Premier League · Ukraine 62%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%

#19

Ekstraklasa · Poland 61%

#20

K League 1 · South-Korea 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 6 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Perugia vs Lecce at 80% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.