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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Tuesday 14 September 2021

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Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 14 September 2021. Sport Recife vs Internacional sits top on 82% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the under 2.5 goals market — 77%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil 82%

✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 74% ✓ Internacional Clean Sheet 59%

Primera División · Chile 77%

✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 68%

Veikkausliiga · Finland 76%

✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%

League One · England 75%

✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%

League Two · England 75%

✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%

Veikkausliiga · Finland 73%

✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 66%

Championship · England 69%

Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Premier Division · Ireland 65%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%

Ligue 2 · France 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#10

Primera División · Chile 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#11

Superettan · Sweden 60%

✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

#12

Championship · England 57%

#13

League Two · England 55%

Showing top 13 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Tuesday 14 September 2021?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sport Recife vs Internacional at 82% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.