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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 11 April 2021

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Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Sunday 11 April 2021. Akropolis vs IK brage led the list at 88% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 65%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Superettan supplies four of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the under 2.5 goals market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Sweden 88%

✓ Under 2.5 88% BTTS No 80% Akropolis Clean Sheet 61%

Superettan · Sweden 88%

✓ Under 2.5 88% ✓ BTTS No 80% Orgryte IS Clean Sheet 61%

Superettan · Sweden 86%

Under 2.5 86% BTTS No 78% Vasalund Clean Sheet 59%

Superettan · Sweden 86%

Under 2.5 86% BTTS No 78% Norrby IF Clean Sheet 59%

K League 1 · South-Korea 81%

Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 69%

Primera División · Chile 80%

Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 68%

Primera División · Chile 71%

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 59%

K League 1 · South-Korea 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Bundesliga · Germany 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 9 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 11 April 2021?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Akropolis vs IK brage at 88% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.