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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Sunday 6 September 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
: 17:00
Sassuolo
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Alverca
: 16:00
SC Braga
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
: 15:00
Liège
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 54%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.