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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Monday 17 August 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
: 19:00
Vitesse
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Championship Β· England
Cardiff
: 20:00
Wrexham
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
: 19:00
Emmen
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
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Showing top 4 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.