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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 26 June 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#2 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
4 : 2 FT
Yunnan Yukun
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1 FT
Galway United
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 55%
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Showing top 5 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.